Justin E. H. Smith
Anyone assessing the strength of Pascal's wager --that, though there may be an infinitesimally small chance that Christianity is true, the potential punishment for not believing it, or reward for believing it, is infinitely great, and therefore it is rational to believe it-- should watch this video before coming to any conclusions:
There is, we must concede, a non-zero, if vanishingly tiny, possibility that the message of Yoke-Up Ministries is correct, that you, as the woman says, will go to hell.
Pascal had supposed that the persuasiveness of his argument to any rational thinker would result in submission to the long-standing authority of the Catholic church. But the problem is that the argument is no more, and no less, compelling coming from a 17th-century Catholic philosopher defending traditional faith than coming from a couple of rough and unwashed rednecks in Louisiana in defense of a strain of enthusiastic neo-Protestantism that Pascal himself would have deemed diabolical.
The Yoke-Up version of the wager brings to light something that Pascal's does not. To accept the wager, to go for it 'just in case', is not, or not only, to submit to God's will. It is also to submit to the will of the person who presents to you the wager, and not just as concerns God's existence, but also as concerns all sorts of tangential cultural matters that God, if he exists, would have to find perfectly irrelevant.
The only way to adequately convince the illiterate truckdriver and his angry 'ex-gay' spouse that one has accepted their message would be, one supposes, not just to declare, "Yes, I believe!", but also to come to care about things like engine repair, to understand certain sports metaphors, to inhabit a world of small and local concerns that can only make sense if one is already a certain kind of working-class white American. In this particular case, one would likely also have to show signs of the ravages of life prior to being born again, perhaps some tribal or Celtic tattoos hidden under the undershirt, teeth worn down to stubs by meth, a threadbare collection of garments announcing that one has 'no fear'.
As Pascal might have said, these are attributes of a Christian that do not depend on will, or even intellect. They are not up to the individual considering the wager, but are instead constitutive of the white-trash habitus. In this respect, one senses that the Yoke-Up wager is not for everyone: it is not Good News for all the nations of the earth, but only for that extended clan of born-agains and not-yet-born-agains who all, regardless of the eventual fate of their souls, recognize one another as members of the same community. You, 3QD readers, may consider yourselves exempt.
*
When I was in high school I called myself a 'communist'. This was the era of perestroika. Gorbachev's hardline opponents were generally spoken of as if they were the only communists left in the Soviet Union, while the general secretary himself was a 'reformer'. In addition to my communism, around the same time I was trying to grow dreadlocks, though somehow, I found, resisting the urge to wash and brush was not quite doing the trick. My matted clumps suggested more the coiffure of a homeless white schizophrenic than, say, Peter Tosh.
My suburban punk-rock girlfriend and I used to watch the news together. She would observe the communist hardliners and say: "They don't have dreadlocks. They don't have nose-rings. They look like dumpy versions of Ronald Reagan. What do you want to be like them for?" I was hard pressed to come up with an answer, so great had the gap become between the state-socialist gerontocracy of Eastern Europe and the utopian enthusiasm that had inspired both certain strains of 19th-century socialism --such as that of Foucher, who believed that, someday, liberated man will be able to play the piano with his feet-- as well as the hairstyle that was to distinguish me from all the complacent bourgeois idiots by whom I found myself surrounded.
The gerontocracy collapsed, and I cut my hair. I went to university and began writing for the campus Republican newspaper. It was funded by David Horowitz, and was the only student newspaper with anything close to a sense of humor. Once, years before The Onion would develop a similar feature, our paper published fake, man-in-the-street interviews with students on campus, asking them what they thought of the rival Third World Forum. "I think it's great that the retarded students have their own paper!", one fake student declared. "I love the big empty spaces on each page!", said another. This last comment seems to have pounded into my head once and for all that iron law, of which I am not the discoverer, of the reverse correlation between marginal politics and high production values.
What I didn't tell my fellow conservative students is that, at the time, I thought of myself not as a Republican but as a Menshevik. That is to say, like the opponents of the Bolsheviks who believed that Russia would have to pass through a miserable era of capitalism in order to make it to the proper phase of history for the staging of a revolution, I believed that George H. W. Bush was a necessary stage on the path to something far better than what Clinton represented. I didn't want Bush to win against Clinton because I liked Republicans. I wanted Bush to win because I believed --sincerely and ironically at once-- that Bush was marginally worse than Clinton, and that the urgent task of any young utopian was to 'heighten the contradictions', as Marxists say, to do what one could to make things as bad as possible, in the hopes that this would precipitate real change faster than the election of a chubby yokel who gave the impression that everything was going to be alright.
Needless to say I was not perfectly at home with the campus conservatives. It quickly became clear to me that I had gravitated to them only because the campus left of the early 1990s was so stiflingly dull. I blame Stalin, of course, and all the others who made it impossible to belong to an Internationale one could really believe in, thus leading to the fragmentation and decline of would-be internationalism into petty identity politics. I wanted barricades; the campus liberals wanted gender-neutral pronouns.
*
I remain a bit of a Menshevizer, as I think do many who are suspicious of the options presented by a rigidly bipartisan system. A disillusioned Argentine ex-Marxist recently mentioned to me that the Bush fils era has done wonders for the political landscape of Latin America (the praise went mostly to Morales, and not to Chavez), and he worries that an Obama presidency would compromise these gains. I see what he's saying, but there's one thing that continues to keep me in line with 'liberal' orthodoxy this time around: we're at a watershed moment in American trash history, when a candidate for high office can appear as if hand-picked by Yoke-Up Ministries.
I'm talking of course about Sarah Palin, the primitiveness of whose Christianity makes George W. Bush look like a proper, mainline Protestant. Palin remains in that stage of religious fervor, so vividly described by the social anthropologist Mary Douglas, in which the intensity of the belief is to be measured by the degree to which it, presumably through the vehicle of the holy spirit, exercises control over the very motion of the body and of the mouth. Most of us have seen the video of the African preacher laying hands on Palin, so as to drive out demons. But the aim of this sort of exercise is not to gain perfect self-control and rational autonomy once the demons are gone. It is only to ensure that the self be governed by the right kind of daimon, to wit, the holy spirit. The very idea of rational autonomy is one that does not come up.
I have a lingering admiration for old-fashioned Goldwater-style conservatism, of which I take McCain, in certain respects beyond the merely geographical, to be an heir. Among other things, it laid a heavy stress on individual autonomy and responsibility, and did not maintain that one could get a free pass to radically dissociate oneself from one's mistake-ridden past simply by announcing that one has been 'born again'. It left open the possibility for cultivation of moral character, in the laudable sense in which this was understood in antiquity. McCain gets all this, but is forced to cater to the snake-charming, witch-purging, infantile mentality of a large sector of the American population in order to have any hope of winning.
A deep part of many of us might want to see things get bad, in order that they may get better. But no decent person could hope to see things get as bad as they might quickly be if Sarah Palin gains executive power. The Mensheviks only wanted to instigate a period of free trade and economic inequality in order to make reality match up with Marx's theory of the stages of history. That would have been a step forward, relatively speaking, from miserable serfdom. A Palin presidency --a likely outcome of her vice-presidency, given McCain's age and evident feebleness-- could easily amount to a step way back, to inquisition and persecution, to the serfdom of the soul that preceded the discovery of autonomy, and to a tribal chauvinism that takes one's own little clapboard church for the sole channeler of divine truth on earth. This is a spectre that trumps any utopian vision of how much better the world might be than what the democrats have yet envisioned, and any concerns as to the absence of real choice in bipartisan elections.
This, and not any lock-step sense of belonging to the liberal orthodoxy, is why I've just checked off 'Obama' on my useless absentee ballot, and affixed enough Canadian postage to carry it all the way back to the Board of Elections of Hamilton County, Ohio.
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For an extensive archive of Justin Smith's writing, please visit www.jehsmith.com.
While I can appreciate that - I think - Mr. Smith is entirely sincere, it's essays like this that make me doubtful of the left wing that I more or less support. The premise of this argument basically comes down to: people like Sarah Palin are weird - you don't want to elect a freak, do you? There are perfectly good reasons to not elect Ms Palin, reasons that have aboslutely nothign to do with how hickish she sounds, or with the peculiarities of her religious faith. It amazes me that we can, on the one hand, talk in such a high-minded way about prejudice and bigotry, and then speak of people who disagree with us in such a bigoted way. If Kennedy had believed that the wine turned literally to the blood of Christ in the Eucharist, would he have been a worse president? Is there nothing 'weird' about mainstream protestantism or catholicism, after all? The reduction of this argument, after all, is 'don't elect anyone who thinks differently than you do.'
On top of that, it's striking to me how little difference there really is here between ideology and religious fate. The philosophy the author espoused in college is an exct parallel to end-times Christians who contribute to move Jews to Israel to bring about Armageddon, after all.
Remember, the revolution's power doesn't come from a snobby cognoscenti elite - it comes from people, people who I daresay probably have more in common with the 'rednecks' above, then with college professors. This isn't to say intellectualism is bad, it's to say that any segment of society who bases it's arguments for chane on the inherent inferiority of another section misses the point, and estranges the ideals it pretends to espouse.
Posted by: Jason Gignac | Monday, October 13, 2008 at 08:16 AM
thanks for saying that: & esp. the inherent class stuff it implies--
not to say 'it's all wrong' but to say, we could look at this drawing of lines harder and see what our lines are made of--
Posted by: c | Monday, October 13, 2008 at 08:36 AM
Yes, I do believe that non-freakishness should be a criterion for election to high office. I think that the real difference between mainline Protestants and evangelicals can be fairly precisely measured, along the lines Mary Douglas spells out, according to the degree to which the one group values rational self-possession while the other values, well, possession.
Posted by: Justin Smith | Monday, October 13, 2008 at 10:04 AM
Invisible friends are invisible friends-- weather from "main line" Protestants or their fundamentalist brothers and sisters. The "main line" give the fundamentalists validity, as Dennett and other have so eloquently pointed out.
Belief in the Psychopathic Space Daddy is not confined to the freak fringe, and it's extraterrestrial morality is solidly placed in both camps.
Posted by: Dave Ranning | Monday, October 13, 2008 at 10:33 AM
OOH, i feel so much better now! I KNOW i'm going "to hell" (in which i do not believe) because they had a special message to us Buddhists too.
Posted by: missvolare | Monday, October 13, 2008 at 10:45 AM
Thank you for writing about the religious right. The best website and blog on the religious right is www.Talk2Action.org. I maintain www.religiousrightwatch.com, and www.PublicEye.org is fantastic.
Posted by: Isebrand | Monday, October 13, 2008 at 11:42 AM
Jeff Sharlet's Revealer site is also good:
revealer
Posted by: CriticalMassI | Monday, October 13, 2008 at 12:41 PM
Sorry that didn't work:
therevealer
Posted by: CriticalMassI | Monday, October 13, 2008 at 12:46 PM
I have a lingering admiration for old-fashioned Goldwater-style conservatism, of which I take McCain... to be an heir. Among other things, it laid a heavy stress on individual autonomy and responsibility... It left open the possibility for cultivation of moral character, in the laudable sense in which this was understood in antiquity. McCain gets all this...
What? You're saying that American conservatives aren't a homogeneous mass of deranged, uneducated, near-illiterate religious fanatics? Absurd!
Posted by: Nick Smyth | Monday, October 13, 2008 at 04:59 PM
If this article's description is accurate, and there's evidence that it is, then McCain may not be the conservative in the tradition of Goldwater you think he is, but rather a simulacrum of that ethic.
http://www.rollingstone.com/news/coverstory/make_believe_maverick_the_real_john_mccain
Posted by: Robin | Monday, October 13, 2008 at 05:34 PM
"the degree to which the one group values rational self-possession while the other values, well, possession."
Well said and I agree, though I think the semi-Markist idea of some undefinable mass of working class people who are going to make revolution happen if things get bad enough is just another version of those born-again Yokees' End of Days tripe.
I've been many times to the real Armageddon, which is a 2,500 year old fortress in Northen Northen Israel (Har Meggido) There's usually a bitch of a traffic jam going past it, but its hardly the end of the world.
Posted by: aguy109 | Monday, October 13, 2008 at 08:54 PM
Scofield's commentaries on the Bible brought us all this wonderful interpretation.
I can easily undrstand why in the bishops in the 4th century councils fought to keep the Revelations of St John out of the canon. Even then they believed his essentially pagan message would pollute the Christian message - and it has.
Revelation is the outpouring of a Jew seriously embittered by Roman imperialism.
Posted by: Henry Barth | Monday, October 13, 2008 at 10:10 PM
Well, I've had my dose of Bronze and Iron Age Fiction---
Let's change genres, as that one is boring and brutal.
Volley ball?
Posted by: Dave Ranning | Monday, October 13, 2008 at 11:23 PM
You are highly irrational, and what with the first amendment and all, I will feel free to "muddle up" your website until you either regain your senses or give up. Your dopamine pathways to your pleasure center have been highjacked. There is no god, there is no heaven, there is no hell. No matter often you repeat it, or how sincere and quavery-voiced you behave, it doesn't change the reality that you are spouting nonsense. It makes you feel special, like you have your own personal in-crowd. Poor people. I think you know deep down inside it's all BS - that's why you have to keep reenforcing your delusion by constant praying, proselytizing, hanging out with other zombie clones, etc. Try going cold turkey with that stuff for a few weeks and the real world may reappear for you. Then you will truly be saved.
Posted by: Joe Green | Tuesday, October 14, 2008 at 10:30 PM
You tell 'em, Joe.
Posted by: Carlos | Tuesday, October 14, 2008 at 11:04 PM
Spoiled rich suburban kid joins communism for unarticulated reasons, later becomes a "Republican Menshevik" and now lives in Canada, spending his time making fun of poor people, calling them white trash and implying they all have meth habits.
How about you write articles attacking people with the real power in this country?
Posted by: Hektor Bim | Wednesday, October 15, 2008 at 09:57 AM
I'm not making fun of poor people. I'm making fun of religious bigots, who I believe are fair game regardless of their class affiliation. In any case I suspect the 'minister's' trucking business is netting him at least as much take-home pay as I have been able to secure in the form of a university salary. Judging from his truck and his kitchen appliances, he is comfortable enough to start reflecting a bit.
Posted by: Justin Smith | Wednesday, October 15, 2008 at 10:40 AM