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March 26, 2008

The Democratic death march

Noam Scheiber in The New Republic:

Screenhunter_02_mar_26_1134When Democrats contemplate the apocalypse these days, they have visions of Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton slugging it out à la Ted Kennedy and Jimmy Carter at the 1980 convention. The campaign's current trajectory is, in fact, alarmingly similar to the one that produced that disastrous affair. Back then, Carter had built up a delegate lead with early wins in Iowa, New Hampshire, and several Southern states. But, as the primary season dragged on, Kennedy began pocketing big states and gaining momentum. Once all the voting ended and Kennedy came up short, he eyed the New York convention as a kind of Hail Mary.

Any candidate trailing at the convention must employ divisive tactics, almost by definition. For example, much of the bitterness in 1980 arose from the floor votes Kennedy engineered to drive a wedge between Carter and his delegates. At one point, Kennedy forced a vote on whether each state's delegation should be split equally between men and women. Carter counted many feminists among his delegates, but the campaign initially opposed the measure so as to deny Kennedy a victory. "You had women who were with Jimmy Carter who were crying on the floor," recalls Joe Trippi, then a young Kennedy organizer.

The Kennedy strategy worked both too well and not well enough.

More here.

Posted by Abbas Raza at 06:36 AM | Permalink

Comments

Enlightening! and Frightening!

Posted by: Felix E. F. Larocca MD | Mar 26, 2008 7:16:23 AM

The way things are going, the Obama-Clinton convention scene will be worse than the Carter-Kennedy one: neither Barack nor Hilary will be willing to accept the nomination if the other is in the convention hall at the time, and the other one will refuse to leave out of sheer spite. So the Dems will have to turn to Edwards. (Just kidding -- I think.)

But they are saying things about each other that will be hard to take back. Clinton is signing on to more and more Republican talking points all the time. Not only is Obama too inexperienced, but now she agrees that his connection with Wright shows that he is a dangerous black radical. And he has called her basically a liar and an unprincipled pol more than once. How will either one be able to graciously concede and campaign for the other one in the fall? I think it is conceivable that Obama, given his personality, might be able to, but Clinton? I don’t think so.

As I’ve said before: get ready for George Bush III, folks. Of course, if Iraq, as well as the U.S. economy, collapse at the present rate, Saint McCain will end up with a dozen or more eggs on his face, which will put the voters in quite a bind. Perhaps there will be a mad stampede to Nader. (Just kidding again, I think.)

Posted by: JonJ | Mar 26, 2008 3:19:50 PM

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